Kamala Harris has room to grow in the polls. Trump can’t say the same.

In just the last few days, we’ve seen Harris up in both national polls and surveys of swing states against former President Donald Trump. In just the last few days, we’ve seen Harris up in both national polls and surveys of swing states against former President Donald Trump. Morning Consult had Harris up 6 points nationally in its survey released Tuesday, 1 point higher than in the snap poll it conducted the day after last week’s debate. The NYT’s poll of Pennsylvania has Harris up 4 percentage points over Trump among likely voters, roughly the same as in August. And almost all of the polls from Marist College and Quinnipiac University of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin show Harris leading, except for Quinnipiac’s Wisconsin poll, which joins a new AARP survey in showing a tie. While most headlines tend to focus on “who’s winning,” I want to remind readers that polls are also important for helping answer “but why?” The Suffolk/USA Today survey, for example, included 21 voters who supported former President Joe Biden in 2020 but aren’t backing Harris. When asked why, five said it was because of the economy/inflation, five said it was because they don’t know Harris’ policies, and five said it was because they’re still undecided. It also, though, shows there’s still room for the Harris campaign to win over some of those former Biden supporters who aren’t fully on board yet. And those 10 potential voters are more than all nine who backed Trump in 2020 and don’t anymore, only one of whom said they’re still undecided. First, most of these polls’ results are still within their margins of error. For example, the Times/Siena national poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 3%, so the reality could be Harris is up as high as 50% to 44% or Trump leads by the same amount. Further, while Morning Consult on Thursday said that state-level polling shows Harris surging post-debate, that’s not a guaranteed trend through November. Likewise, that upward trend line is all the more important when Democrats most likely have the advantage on mobilizing people to the polls, as the GOP suffers from Trump’s counterproductive orders to divert resources from the party’s ground game. There’s still a lot that can happen between now and Nov. 5, but for now it’s Harris with the wind at her back as Trump struggles to keep up. – This Summarize was created by Neural News AI (V1). Source: https://www.msnbc.com/opinion/msnbc-opinion/kamala-harris-trump-polls-debate-rcna171827