**Fed Says Generative AI Isn’t Just Hype—It’s the Next Microscope**
The Federal Reserve believes generative AI is a game-changer for productivity, comparing its potential impact to breakthroughs like electricity and the microscope. However, widespread adoption will be slow and risky, requiring major infrastructure investments. While AI could revolutionize industries, its full economic benefits may not emerge until the 2030s.
**AI’s Productivity Boom Is Coming—But Don’t Expect It Overnight**
The Fed predicts generative AI will significantly boost labor productivity, but warns adoption will take years due to slow integration in non-tech sectors. Unlike past innovations, AI’s impact depends on supporting tech like robotics and AI agents. Experts forecast measurable GDP growth by 2027, peaking in the next decade.
**Why the Fed Compares AI to the Microscope and Electric Dynamo**
A new Fed paper highlights AI as both a „general-purpose technology” and an „invention of invention,” driving long-term productivity like the microscope once did. Specialized AI tools and rapid innovation suggest transformative potential—but overbuilding infrastructure could backfire. The key challenge? Getting businesses to fully embrace AI.