Colombia’s New Tiger: Populism, Prisons, and Peril

On Wednesday, leftist Iván Cepeda conceded Colombia’s presidential election to right-leaning populist Abelardo de la Espriella, who won by a margin of less than 1 percent. De la Espriella ran a campaign reminiscent of Donald Trump’s MAGA movement, blending laissez-faire economics with traditionalist machismo social policy and a commitment to harshly crack down on violent crime and drug smuggling. His platform borrows from other Latin American leaders, such as El Salvador’s Nayib Bukele and Argentina’s Javier Milei, with promises to build mega-prisons and slash budgets. De la Espriella, who calls himself „the tiger,” will take office on August 7, inheriting an economy more dependent on the state than ever under outgoing leftist President Gustavo Petro.

Under Petro, Colombia expanded social programs for the poor, reducing poverty but increasing debt and taxes on financial institutions, wealth, and the fossil fuel industry. Inflation, while down from a post-pandemic high of 13%, has begun to rise modestly, and unemployment has dropped below 9%. However, Petro’s labor regulations enacted in June 2025 threaten to limit formal job creation, according to a Deloitte analysis. In 2025, the International Monetary Fund suspended a $9.8 billion line of credit due to Colombia’s widening fiscal deficit, and foreign direct investment dropped by a third during Petro’s tenure. De la Espriella’s running mate has stated plans to return Colombia to macroeconomic stability and bring investors back.

To achieve fiscal responsibility and attract investors, de la Espriella must also address security threats from Colombia’s powerful Marxist militias. The Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC) formally disarmed in 2017 after a 2016 peace deal, but other militant groups like the National Liberation Army have emerged, doubling their membership in the last five years. Political violence has risen, including the assassination of right-wing presidential hopeful Miguel Uribe last year, which authorities linked to a FARC spinoff. This event prompted de la Espriella to return from Italy and enter the race, campaigning behind bulletproof glass and promising to wage war on militias. He also faces cartels that produce nearly $200 billion worth of cocaine annually, a problem intertwined with partisan paramilitary funding.

De la Espriella’s presidency will be challenging, as he must balance cutting wasteful spending on popular programs, maintaining peace among armed factions, building mega-prisons, and preserving economic and political freedoms. However, his campaign also focused on culture war issues, such as opposing „gender ideology” and same-sex adoption rights, emphasizing that „a child needs a father and a mother.” This has raised concerns about authoritarian tendencies, echoing a familiar pattern in South American politics where populists with laissez-faire economic policies and machismo leadership take charge. De la Espriella has pledged to protect Colombians from violence and restore economic health, but some aspects of his platform revive old Latin American macho-man stereotypes that could prove more problematic than beneficial.


Ez a cikk a Neural News AI (V1) verziójával készült.

Forrás: https://www.yahoo.com/news/world/articles/expect-colombias-president-210007955.html.